Kentucky vs Bama. Trap? Herman you still around?

[Archie]

need some info on this game and this line

thanks

 

[MrMonkey]

I keep thinking just play Kentucky, too far superior but man with the way I'm betting CBB I should just tail Wally while he is hot? Yes Herman, stop by and tell us something.

 

[Fu Manchu]

gotta go with UK here

 

[MrMonkey]

gotta go with UK here

That's what I was thinking. don't over think it!

 

[Fu Manchu]

line does seem fishy though

 

[MrMonkey]

line does seem fishy though

Vegasinsider shows all the money on UK but line for the most part dropped .5-1 point and now steady at 4? Hilton opened at 4 right off the bat and Resort went from 5 to 4 quickly.

Is that guy Billy Walters involved with this in some way?

 

[Fu Manchu]

maybe herman and zack hample are involved somehow

 

[wal66]

Kentucky rated out as the highest play on the board today according to my program. The line is off by more than just a little bit even factoring in home court for Alabama. Alabama while not the worst team in the SEC is hardly a good team yet the line is only 4-4.5, why?

Sunday the highest rated play according to my program was North Carolina. In that game just as with this Kentucky game the line was way off. I knew there was something worng with the line and I was well aware it was a super sucker square play even as I was playing it.

I have played many games blindly going with the program and while this game is a program selection I'm passing because it just makes no sense and looks far too easy.

 

[Archie]

Wal, I like opinions like this.


it is good to be aware that anyone's model, program, or system might be a tad bit behind Vegas.......


so what is the play Wally? give it to me straight

 

[wal66]

Arch, I never lead someone down a wrong path intentionally and I NEVER think I am smarter than the guys with real experience/knowledge. The obvious choice is Kentucky, they are a better all around team and it's only 4 points with a team that is easily under-valued by around 7 points.

I'm passing on this one in favor of Georgetown and Evansville.

Arch, we aren't forced to play a game just because it's offered. Sometimes they appear too easy cause they are and other times they appear too easy because they want us to think they are. When in doubt pass but you already know that Arch. Should this game end and Kentucky wins by 10 and you passed on it then you missed an opportunity but there will be others.

 

[wal66]

I'm still staying away but last I posted Kentucky was -4 (-103) at Pinny and now are -4 (-109) so the price movement is a little more along the lines I would have thought it should have been earlier. I kind of expect the line to move a bit closer to tip-off. Not sure if it will go to 5 but would think so.

P.S. as lucky as I have been selcting games I have been terrible at predicting line movements.

 

[Cougar Bait]

I like Kentucky by about 9 points so I laid the chalk

88% of the public on the same side so you know what that usually means

 

[Badnina]

This year's KY team hasn't played that well on the road, hence the line movement that might confuzzle you. Bama's team has played better than I thought they would.

I would be wary

 

[Cougar Bait]

Someone console me

As I am on Seton Hall tonight and a bit worried about it

 

[Tron]

We may have a major public burial here

 

[Badnina]

Bama loves their home court this year and blue cats don't like going on the road.

 

[wal66]

Arch I hope you stayed away or at least didn't go large unless of course you rolled with the Tide.

 

[Badnina]

*obnoxious homer moment*

"...Hey Wildcats!
We just beat the hell outta you!
Rammer Jammer Yeller Hammer
Give'em HELL Alabama!"


ok...I am done.