Herman vs. Self Discipline vs. SIA

[Herman]

Lets do this!

Deposited the max $200 right now and got a $40 bonus. I will deposit more in a week when I am allowed again. Betting 5% per play.

Sharps who play at SIA, feel free to post any edge plays at the book.

I'll bet anything with an edge, and that's all I'm doing.

I don't see anything tonight......

 

[Herman]

Actually.........how about the college football game.

Pinny has Auburn +1 -105/Miss St -1 -105

SIA has Miss St +1 -105

Pinny ML on MSU is -110
SIA ML on MSU is +100

Take the 1 point or go with the moneyline?

 

[Fu Manchu]

remember last year?

smart betting. 1-2%. 3 hours later you are all in on the raiders ML (week 1). lost on the last play of the game..

 

[Matty]

You could've had Miss St +2.5 earlier. But yeah, nothing good right now.

 

[Herman]

You could've had Miss St +2.5 earlier. But yeah, nothing good right now.

So don't go with the MSU ML at +100 when Pinny has -110?

 

[Herman]

remember last year?

smart betting. 1-2%. 3 hours later you are all in on the raiders ML (week 1). lost on the last play of the game..

 

[Matty]

So don't go with the MSU ML at +100 when Pinny has -110?

Sure, but you really should've bet +110 earlier.

I'd bet it.

 

[Patty]

remember last year?

smart betting. 1-2%. 3 hours later you are all in on the raiders ML (week 1). lost on the last play of the game..


I remember he was playing at matchy i think and it was this same time of year.

He went like 2-8 on +ev bets and said fuk it u cant win and got burried on the raiders on the last play of the game.

I think herman was risking like 5-10% of his roll perplay which is crazy with small edges.


HERMAN I WILL BE LOOKING FOWARD TO THE RESULTS OF THIS THREAD.

GET EM HERMAN.

 

[Matty]

So $10 on it? You got like 20 cents of positive EV.

 

[BGS 9.5]

fok off twink

 

[Herman]

Thanks matty.

Mississippi State ML +100 - Risk $12 (Pinny line -110)

 

[Patty]

Isn't it a little to early to be betting that? Isn't it better to take it near closing time so you get a +ev for sure? This might not end well.

 

[RayRay]

miss. st. is one fucked up place to play a game...weird shit happens...and all those goddamn cowbells and shit...fok
gl herm

 

[Herman]

yellowfist watch and learn

 

[Patty]

herman what will you say if miss state goes to -120 30 mins before close?

sharps chime in. is it too early to be betting this number. theres no gurantee it will beat the closer.

 

[Herman]

It will move against me as much as it moves with me, so it doesn't matter.

 

[Tomato]

The significantly better bet at SIA is +1 -105 1H considering the current game money line of +100.

 

[Matty]

Go crazy Herman, another ten spot on the 1st H.