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GLPPOTD - Monday April 12th **ATTN MRMONKEY** *NEW FORMAT*

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roguejuror

roguejuror

matty's hype man
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Okay the format have changed this week. Anybody can suggest plays to Mr. Monkey, no limit on the amount, write ups are welcome. Lets convince Mr. Monkey why your play is a good one and he will make the call and name it the POTD.

:handshake:
 
So far my only play is CIN +140 but it's @ +128ish right now

FLA got outplayed all weekend by LAD but a combination of calls in their favor and some miracle clutch hits got them the series win.

They're no where near as good as their 4-2 record would indicate.

XBH's will be a problem for Nolasco tonight and when he has to turn the ball over to the bullpen, the fireworks will begin.


Weather could delay the game
 
Bread
Mr Monkey congrats on #1 spot in Best Bet. Helluva run son!
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Thanks Bread! Just woke up getting some needed sleep. Peanut is so cool but hurts the zzzz time! She likes to sit under my chair when I'm on the computer. So MrsM tells me to get off the computer, I tell her it's for our little girl! :wacko:

Hope I can pick the right one today? Some afternoon games in bases so hopefully posters put some plays out there early? NBA games too, not versed on those but will give it a shot. If no support, won't let it bother me, can't force anybody to play the GLPOTD if they care not to. If somebody is doing a sports picks thread, don't see why they can't throw one in here? :dunno:
 
7.5-8 number seems more relying IMO on good/great pitchers. Books relying here on no hitting it seems here. Never thought I would be betting Over/Unders as best bet but have been of late with more success. this type of game I had on radar with slow rollers pitching even though the teams involved don't produced alot of runs. Good pitchers IMO trumps good hitting teams anyway.

Duchscherer real junk baller with no velocity. Lifetime good reliever who turn starter in July of 2008 and missed all of 2009! Good career success against Seattle hitters but mostly in relief. Can't see Seattle not scoring runs and guy probably won't go past 5-6 anyway.

Rowland-Smith also doesn't throw hard and IMO when thinking Over always good idea not to have a flame thrower who can't be hit when right no matter what. Also became a starter in 2008.

Through 7 games 39 (A's) and 21(M's) runs scored. OK, not a large test case for this, but 60 by 7 = 8.6! No laughing, please. Safeco not induced to hitting but these teams don't long ball much anyway. Both teams faced these guys last week.

This isn't the play yet, just giving my input!

Out till 2PM but Twins at 4PM EST first game so still time to go over other games in more detail. Dafty. FLA always scares the crap, never seem to win with them whatever way I play it. Cincy looks good and would love to get back at those bastards.

Sixers are pure puke but will look into. Another unpredictable team and sometimes when a team has nothing to play for, they come out strong especially a schoolyard balling team like Philly.
 
Swarmy
also MLB-Twins ML +115. Twins first game at new stadium, Carl Pavano vs. Jon Lester.
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New stadium but so playing field even for both teams. Metrodome was awfully good to the Twins. Pavano better in opening than Lester. Surprised by Sox being this much of fav? Couldn't get Target Field wind direction from weather.com but found out 16 MPH out toward left-left center favoring Twins.

Lots of lefties though than Lester gets to face and books seem to think he will bounce back? Thought Sox would be more of play, but slightly liking the Twins here like the Oak-Sea. Over play. Look into it some more, 60 minutes left with this one!
 
Throw San Diego into the mix.

Very fishy line



MONEYLINES04/11 18:45 – / – -152 / +14204/11 21:12 80% / 20% -150 / +14004/12 00:01 47% / 53% -148 / +13804/12 02:36 54% / 46% -144 / +13404/12 07:09 57% / 43% -145 / +13504/12 08:54 58% / 42% -147 / +13704/12 10:11 57% / 43% -150 / +14004/12 11:18 54% / 46% -133 / +12304/12 11:21 53% / 47% -122 / +11204/12 11:29 54% / 46% -118 / +10804/12 11:38 53% / 47% -115 / +10504/12 11:44 54% / 46% -114 / +10404/12 11:59 55% / 45%
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Passing on the Twins. I think I fuked up the n-s-e-west of field? I think it is blowing in from left field? :clueless:

Just can't go with the NBA play with my knowledge no matter I much I look into it. Looking over Cinny and SD right now!
 
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