Hooligans Sportsbook

Enquiry regarding stl/met match-up 4 tomorrow.....

  • Start date
  • Replies
    3 Replies •
  • Views 471 Views

xpansive

New Member
Since
Jan 30, 2010
Messages
4,514
Score
169
Tokens
0
Seeing as these two teams are tussling it out in the 20th innings now is there any possible angle that could be played for tomorrows match-up regarding fatigue of both teams???
Sory if that seems a tad simple but hey, ive got a question that needs answering and im no pro in MLB, hence i post where the pros are at :thumbup:
 
General fatigue would normally have been an issue if it was an early afternoon game but luckily for the teams it's the ESPN Sunday night game starting at 8pm EST so they have got plenty of time to recharge the batteries - so the question is more relevant to the bullpen issue.

The Mets used 8 relievers and the Cardinals used 9 - more importantly, 4 for the Mets pitched 2+ innings as opposed to 3 for the Cardinals. I'm too lazy to look at how often each reliver has pitched in the last few days but we can be sure that anyone pitching 2+ innings tonight will be out for tomorrow. Then we look at the starting pitchers and who is more likely to place a burden on the bullpen.

John Maine is starting for the Mets after back to back poor starts to kick off the season (losing 2mph on his fastball isn't helping matters) averaging 4 innings per start. In 2009 he averaged 5.42 innings per start, 5.60 in 2008 and 5.97 in 2007. Adam Wainwright is up for the Cardinals who has averaged 7.5 innings over his first two starts; 6.85 in 2009, 6.6 in 2008 and 6.31 in 2007.

The most important statistic is seeing how much the line for tomorrow's game moved as today's game progressed - i.e. has this already been factored into the line.
 
If the moneylines didn't move for the duration of the game, that is surely an edge to the Cardinals. John Maine is a mess this season - his loss of velocity is a major concern (especially since he's only 28) and he's a heavy chalk to be out before 5 innings. Leading into a bullpen which was more overstretched for the Mets today than the Cardinals.