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Daft has lost 7 baseball bets in a row....

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Mr X, I'll be honest here. I've been drinking since 2:30 reference the Germany/Spain game. But I made this bet prior to all of this.

Is there a Cliffs Notes version of why The Model took HOU?


I thought I had this thing clocked but I hate that you're on the other side
 
Daft
Is there a Cliffs Notes version of why The Model took HOU?
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There's not really a good Cliffs Notes version. My opinion is based on two models. The one that I'm operating basically predicts market inefficiencies (as opposed to predicting probability distributions) and it only predicts a little over a 1% edge on HOU, so there's not too much to tell there.

The other model (that predicts outcome distributions) sees a big edge on HOU, but it's not in my hands, so I can't give you any insight on it.

If you share why you like PIT so much, I'll tell you if I see anything wrong with your reasoning. There's no doubt that our models spit out bad plays sometimes, so you can't just assume that you're in the wrong.
 
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