Cincinnati Reds

[Herman]

If Bread were still gambling, he would have been on them today.

What was the in-game when the Reds were up 10-1 after 4.5 innings?

 

[Bread]

I'm big on them on a Future to win the division. Don't worry, I still have that magic touch.

 

[Bread]

And just like that they tie it. Weird.

 

[Polaroid]

If Bread were still gambling, he would have been on them today.

What was the in-game when the Reds were up 10-1 after 4.5 innings?

Assuming identical teams, the odds on SF winning after 4.5 innings was 0.9% which translates to a ML of ~+11,000. After 5.5 innings the probability was (at the game minimum of) 0.6% giving a ML of ~+16,500.

 

[Bread]

So I guess Atl-Col game would be the same deal? Strange comebacks.

 

[Polaroid]

I think (I read it somewhere) yesterday marked the first time that the Giants have scored 10+ runs in consecutive games since the 1970s, and they go and do it again today.

 

[Bread]

So I guess Atl-Col game would be the same deal? Strange comebacks.

Actually Atl only held the 10-1 lead after 4.5 innings, so wouldn't have been AS high, but still woulda been pretty outrageous.

 

[Polaroid]

So I guess Atl-Col game would be the same deal? Strange comebacks.

Yes, but not quite as dramatic. The lowest probability for a COL win was 1.5% in the bottom of the 3rd converting to a ML of ~+6600. However, there is no doubt you could have done very well live betting today if you picked your spots.

 

[senco78]

FOK me I had ATL
it was brutal to watch