Any value in this line?

[djiddish98]

Iceland Premiere league.

Bodog has Breidablik at -137

Pinnacle has them at -169.
Opponent is 480, Draw is +343

I've never done a no-vig calc before on soccer, but I'm getting -157.79 as the no-vig line for Breidablik

Decent odds?

 

[roguejuror]

It KO already. Considering its -3/4 1.80 a minute in I would say yeah 1.57 had some value.

 

[djiddish98]

Bodog does have different rules than Pinnacle (90 minutes + injury as opposed to 90 minutes), but I figure that would only affect totals. Or am I wrong? Never done soccer before.

 

[roguejuror]

Bodog should have the same rules as Pinnacle (and every other book). When a book say 90 minutes its usually taken that it means injury time also. Just in case you're confuse, injury time doesn't mean over time.

 

[Matty]

I wouldn't trust Icelandic soccer to be a particularly efficient market, although -137 vs. -169 is a big edge on paper even after taking into account Pinny's vig (I'm seeing 2.33% on the other Iceland game that's still on the board.)

I would've bet that.

 

[djiddish98]

Yeah, certainly wouldn't go full kelly on that (if I bet kelly) due to it being icelandic premiere league.

Also, thanks Rogue for the clarification - not sure why I didn't think of extras when pinnacle said regulation time only.