Sunday Night Fathers Day Baseball 8:05 PM

[Enigma]

great start

I don't care if my cubs rl wins that much

just gotta get that over

that fat load cc may help with his abs against wells

 

[Enigma]

wells has not been good this year but remember that doug davis was even worse going into friday's game

 

[FairWarning]

He just gave up a home run on an 0-2 count

thats my cubs.

 

[roguejuror]

Lets go Cubs and lets see some runs

 

[MonkeyF0cker]

MF'r I have a pretty elementary question so bear with me....

As a Relative Value bettor with a high volume is it safe to assume that you yield positive units year after year in MLB?

If yes, are there big swings from one season to the next?

If no, how is it possible with such a high volume of +EV plays?

I go through swings throughout the season, but I've never had a losing season in MLB.

As sample size increases, the deviation to your overall relative expectancy follows suit. In other words, you're far more likely to be down 20 units after 200 plays with a 54% expectancy (against coinflips - for example) than you are after 1000 plays.

 

[Tron]

As sample size increases, the deviation to your overall relative expectancy follows suit. In other words, you're far more likely to be down 20 units after 200 plays with a 54% expectancy (against coinflips - for example) than you are after 1000 plays.

Interesting. Thanks.

 

[FairWarning]

I'm one of those coinflippers.

 

[Tron]

WE GOT THAT RUN BACK BOYS


Cubbies manufactured one

 

[Tron]

Ramirez needs to fucking pay attention. There was a chance he could have went to 2B there

 

[Cougar Bait]

I have never seen Aramis Ramirez run so fast in my life.

 

[FairWarning]

OT for a friend - anyone know of a minor-league sabr site?

 

[Herman]

baseball-reference.com has minor league numbers

not sure if they have minor league WAR's, VORP's, etc.

 

[Enigma]

sabathia is one lazy mofo

 

[Herman]

Baseball Prospectus has some

http://www.baseballprospectus.com/card/card.php?id=JACKSON19880802A

 

[Tomato]

Soriano!!!

 

[Enigma]

that was HUGH

freaking dsi pulled their total of over 7 -142 as I was betting it so it wouldn't let me complete the bet

nevertheless have quite a bit riding on the over and on cubs ml in play (dsi offering nice odds)

big hit soriano

when he hit it it was so high I was afraid it'd be caught

 

[Tron]

Soriano




YES

 

[Cougar Bait]

Nice!! Soriano just owns CC