Hooligans Sportsbook

Baseball Picks 2011

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Enogsiwon
After looking over the lines I keep coming back to the same game. The Braves play the Nationals at 1PM eastern on Thursday and there is bad weather in the forecast..With two starters that rely so much on movement, I see them both struggling in the cold humid weather and not lasting very long, especially if there is delays.

I see a long day for everyone involved in this game if they do end up getting it in.. from the grounds crew, to the bullpens....from the pinch hitters, to the scorekeepers...

hope I'm right..

Braves/Nationals OVER (8) -123
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never really rained much, just a cold day in DC.. seemed like both teams just wanted to get it over with.. Over never had a shot...

Enogsiwon
One of the best pitchers average baseball fans don't know about is Y.Gallardo... He is the rare combination of power and command, not to mention throws 4 quality pitches. Just when he was ready to become a household name, the Brewers traded for Zack Greinke and he had to share the spotlight.. Well, Greinke is hurt so we will all get to see just how great this guy is on opening day...

The Brewers play the Reds on Thursday at 2 PM eastern, and although most think the Reds are a very good team with a nice lineup, I am one that thinks they are a tad over rated. Guys like J.Gomes, Scott Rolen, Brandon Phillips and R.Hernandez might put up numbers at the end of the year, but against a top flight guy like the one they'll face tomorrow these guys look more and more below average. There is probably 2 guys that can do damage off of Gallardo in this Reds lineup... Joey Votto is one and whoever has a lucky day is the other...

As much as I love this Gallardo guys arm, I am very much concerned about the Brewers bullpen. Any team that had Hoffman at closer last year has to have issues in the pen.. Maybe they have made strides, but until i see it, I will just assume they are as shitty as they were last year..


Brewers (First Five Innings) -101


E.Volquez will be throwing for the Reds. He didnt get a full spring in and had some command issues.. Hoping he isn't completely ready to go...
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At least I got this one right, Brewers pen might be a problem again this year...

Enogsiwon
I like what Ned Yost and the Royals have been doing on offense this spring.. looks like they are going to be active on the bases, something that could give a guy like J. Weaver troubles..

Royals OVER (3.5) -115
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This one is not looking very good, 4-1 Angels in the seventh.. need a miracle. The Royals made Weaver throw a bunch of pitches but never got anything going..
 
well it didn't take long for me to come up with my first "conspiracy" for baseball 2011.. I get the feeling that the strikezone will be reduced in size league-wide in an attempt to get more runs scored and bring a little excitement back to the sport. I watched most of all six games today and don't ever recall so many pitches on the corner being called balls... Maybe it was just a coincidence and the 6 umps that went today have always had tight zones... who knows, we'll see soon enough...

I thought teams used their best pitchers on opening day? I'm not talking about starters, but relievers.. I understand some teams have injuries but if that's the best you guys can do, you're in trouble..(Brewers, Tigers, Giants, Angels, Cardinals)

The Padres and Royals aren't expected to do much this year, but I like their lineups, some tough outs and scrappy players that will drive pitchers crazy at times.. you will most likely find some value with these guys if you pick your spots..

Which one of the 4 heavy NL favorites is going to lose during the day tomorrow??? (Phillies, Cubs, Rockies, or Marlins) My pick is the Cubs...
 
It is so tempting after a couple bad days in baseball to just lay some chalk and try to get back on the winning track... this strategy doesn't work, trust me... value is value, a good number is a good number... this is what I'm looking for and it doesn't matter how yesterday went..

That being said, I like the Pirates on Friday as almost 2-1 underdogs...They might lose, but I think there is an ounce of value here so I'm rolling with them..

Correia has been around the block, he might not be the most talented pitcher in the NL, but the guy battles.. and he seems to always be undervalued.. and thats all that really matter in the end..

you might laugh at me now, but I'd take the Pirates pen over some of the gas cans I watched managers throw out there on Thursday.. E.Meek and J.Hanrahan are two solid arms at the back of their bullpen that will close out games when they are lucky enough to make it to the 7th with a lead...(which I'm hoping Correia will help them do on Friday)

I'm also looking forward to see how many runs the Pirates produce this year.. Their lineup might be one of the big surprises of the year.. McCutchen, Alvarez, G.Jones, R.Doumit, N.Walker, and L.Overbay have all got some experience or upside..

and then there is the Wrigley Field factor.. it seems to be the ultimate equalizer... The wind can even things out and make everyone a HR hitter, or make everyone look like Brad Hawpe after steroids (a guy that thinks he is a power hitter) Either way, Wrigley can at times strip away some of the better teams advantage..

Pirates +163
 
I really don't understand this line but I'll bite... Either something is up with Dan Haren or the books still think this is the "same" J.Francis from the Rockies..

always love the Angels lineup against "soft tossing" lefties... little worried about the Halo's pen after what I saw on Thursday, but still think they have a good shot to win this one...

Angels -135
 
U.Jimenez and Jon Lester looked very average in their first starts of the year.. Jimenez was throwing at least 5 mph slower and had terrible command compared to last season... You can bet he will be overpriced in his next start.. No way he puts it all together in 5 days..
 
Enogsiwon
It is so tempting after a couple bad days in baseball to just lay some chalk and try to get back on the winning track... this strategy doesn't work, trust me... value is value, a good number is a good number... this is what I'm looking for and it doesn't matter how yesterday went..

That being said, I like the Pirates on Friday as almost 2-1 underdogs...They might lose, but I think there is an ounce of value here so I'm rolling with them..

Correia has been around the block, he might not be the most talented pitcher in the NL, but the guy battles.. and he seems to always be undervalued.. and thats all that really matter in the end..

you might laugh at me now, but I'd take the Pirates pen over some of the gas cans I watched managers throw out there on Thursday.. E.Meek and J.Hanrahan are two solid arms at the back of their bullpen that will close out games when they are lucky enough to make it to the 7th with a lead...(which I'm hoping Correia will help them do on Friday)

I'm also looking forward to see how many runs the Pirates produce this year.. Their lineup might be one of the big surprises of the year.. McCutchen, Alvarez, G.Jones, R.Doumit, N.Walker, and L.Overbay have all got some experience or upside..

and then there is the Wrigley Field factor.. it seems to be the ultimate equalizer... The wind can even things out and make everyone a HR hitter, or make everyone look like Brad Hawpe after steroids (a guy that thinks he is a power hitter) Either way, Wrigley can at times strip away some of the better teams advantage..

Pirates +163
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Correia battled, the lineup put up runs, and Meek and Hanrahan finished it off.. was proud of this pick..

Enogsiwon
I really don't understand this line but I'll bite... Either something is up with Dan Haren or the books still think this is the "same" J.Francis from the Rockies..

always love the Angels lineup against "soft tossing" lefties... little worried about the Halo's pen after what I saw on Thursday, but still think they have a good shot to win this one...

Angels -135
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Francis was way better than I thought he would be.. Game was tied 1-1 in the ninth until the Royals won it with a HR... was not proud of this one...


1-1 +0.28 units today

3-8 -5.15 units overall
 
Not in the mood to talk baseball...

The A's wont lose, Wood and the Reds are over valued as usual, and Lilly will see what happens when you have to throw true strikes...Did the books watch the Cubs game on Friday?

Pirates +170

Giants -105

Brewers +107

Athletics -174
 
Enogsiwon
Not in the mood to talk baseball...

The A's wont lose, Wood and the Reds are over valued as usual, and Lilly will see what happens when you have to throw true strikes...Did the books watch the Cubs game on Friday?

Pirates +170

Giants -105

Brewers +107

Athletics -174
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Well, the A's lost...

Wood looked like the best pitcher going today...

and the Pirates blew a 3-0 lead in the 8th...

The only bright spot was the Giants winning 10-0...

1-3 -2.74 units today

4-11 -7.89 units overall
 
RogueJuror
I've never seen eggnog this concentrated before mister monkey. Could we be seeing a Herman like rebirth?
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OMG NO RJ! You could be right? There is only one Herman and we need to keep it that way!

After reading your astute post I believe he has to go back to being the overly, confident prick that he was in his past life! King, Let's do this. :up:
 
Total Bases Prop (Giants @ Dodgers)

I like Brandon Belt to have more total bases than Marcus Thames tonight for a couple reasons... First off, Thames is batting 8th tonight so he will probably get pitched around more than usual tonight.. Zito doesn't throw many strikes as it is, so I'll be willing to bet Thames walks at least once tonight, maybe twice (walks do not count towards total bases).. another thing to think about is if Zito only lasts 5 innings (highly probable), Thames might be lifted for a pinch hitter later in the game..

If you don't know about Brandon Belt yet, you soon will.. guy was born to hit..

(Disclaimer: I know Barry Zito is the worst pitcher in baseball, but I still think this is a good play..)


Brandon Belt -115 Total Bases (Marcus Thames)
 
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