• Bread Loves Super Bowl Props

    I love me some Prop betting. They break down the game within the game. Instead of rooting merely for a team or a total score, Props give you option to win or lose some dough on player performances, unique statistics or completely off-the-wall things like the length of the national anthem. I love them.

    The Super Bowl is the Promised Land for Prop betting enthusiasts. If you print out every offering that some Prop-heavy books offer – such as TheGreek- you are left with a novel stacked full of everything imaginable. It is a magical time for yours truly. I generally go a little crazy, to the point that just about every single play results in a check mark or a big fat X on my betting sheet. I’ve been doing some looking around and here are some of several that have caught my eye.

    Indianapolis 1st score of game
    TD -220
    FG or Safety +180


    Let me just start out by saying that I think Indy is going to win and I think they’re going to cover. It pains me to say it, as the Peyton Manning massive melon brigade has been tormenting me for too long, but I just think that the Saints wild ride is about over. If you can’t beat them, you may as well join them. And this Prop in particular has me salivating.

    Guess how many regular season games saw the Colts crack the scoreboard with a field goal this year. Maybe 50%? 25%? Try one stinking game. San Francisco’s defense in Week 8 was the only unit to hold Manning’s offense out of the end zone on their first scoring drive. That’s hitting on the touchdown at a 94% clip. That’s just sick.

    In their two playoff games against Baltimore and the Jets, they were forced to settle for the three points to open. Those two teams field top notch defenses. New Orleans does not. This is one to load up on at -220. You talk about value, here it is. Don’t say that I never did anything for you.

    The only time Indy won’t be putting up points

    Joseph Addai
    Over 65.5 Yards Rushing +105
    Under 65.5 Yards Rushing -135

    Will Addai score a TD?
    Yes -135
    No +105


    I’m infatuated with Joseph Addai. What an enigma. I’m simply baffled how any back could be “the” guy on a juggernaut offense like Indianapolis for several years, and remain so mediocre. You have to hand it to him; he certainly shoots for the low-flying clouds. Jeezus.

    Admittedly, I do have a proclivity for drafting this clown on my fantasy teams. That is a problem within itself. I just keep thinking that he’s going to break out a LaDanian-type season one of these years. My bad.

    The ultimate underachiever averaged 3.8 yards per rush in the regular season. That is the same number he has averaged in his two postseason games. He scored a TD in 10 of the 15 regular season games he participated in, and none so far in the playoffs. He averaged 55.2 ypg in the regular season and 51.5 in the postseason.

    I’m leaning towards playing him on the Under 65.5 yards for the game, but then again, I think that Indy will be running clock in the 2nd half. Who knows, even Addai could possibly find a hole for a nice 30-yard gain in the 4th qtr to take this one over. Just as I have been for years, I’m completely confused when it comes to this guy.

    Since I have to have some sort of action on him, I’ll just do something retarded. Total rushing yards – Odd (-105). That doesn’t even make sense. If only there was a Prop on how many times I will curse his name on Sunday.

    Will New Orleans score in the 1st & 2nd quarter?
    Yes -135
    No +105


    If the game goes as planned, it will be the Saints playing catch up in the 2nd half. I will be basing many of my Prop plays off of this premise. New Orleans has scored in both the 1st & 2nd quarters in all but four of their 18 games this season. It’s tough going anytime you find yourself rooting against this power house offense.

    I’m going to live dangerously and go with the Saints being blanked in one of the first couple of quarters. It’s going to be Manning & Co. lighting up the scoreboard often, and the Saints Super Bowl welcoming party having the mat pulled out from under their feet before they even know what hit them. There will be uncharacteristic punts and turnovers. It would be nice if the most intriguing Super Bowl quarterback matchup in several years turned out to be a great game. I just don’t see it being an even competition.

    Will New Orleans Convert on a 4th Down?
    Yes +105
    No -135


    If the Saints come out and smack around the Colts, man oh man my Props are going to be in some serious trouble! The thought here once again falls under the belief that New Orleans will be scrambling to make up a deficit. With that desperation will come 4th down attempts.

    Who dat gonna get a 4th down? They were only 6/15 on 4th downs this year, but I’m looking for a few attempts late in the game. I’ll take my chances with their offensive weapons coming through at least once.

    There could be upwards of 50 more of these. Who knows? Entirely too many candies to choose from. How about an O/U on how many beers I will consume? Well I guess that depends on how this game goes. Good Lord I’m scared.

    Last game of the year

    This article was originally published in forum thread: Bread Loves Super Bowl Props started by Bread View original post